Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.004276 0.004495 0.004719 0.004968 0.005235 0.005514 0.005829
2025-11-23 0.003898 0.004219 0.004563 0.004960 0.005407 0.005899 0.006482
2025-11-30 0.003616 0.003989 0.004399 0.004887 0.005456 0.006102 0.006897
2025-12-07 0.003404 0.003812 0.004270 0.004828 0.005495 0.006274 0.007264
2025-12-14 0.003260 0.003697 0.004197 0.004820 0.005581 0.006493 0.007688
2025-12-21 0.003063 0.003508 0.004025 0.004678 0.005491 0.006485 0.007818
2025-12-28 0.002970 0.003436 0.003985 0.004691 0.005586 0.006705 0.008243
2026-01-04 0.002907 0.003395 0.003979 0.004741 0.005726 0.006984 0.008758
2026-01-11 0.002811 0.003309 0.003912 0.004709 0.005756 0.007117 0.009080
2026-01-18 0.002735 0.003243 0.003866 0.004700 0.005812 0.007285 0.009455
2026-01-25 0.002652 0.003166 0.003801 0.004662 0.005827 0.007394 0.009750
2026-02-01 0.002626 0.003160 0.003827 0.004743 0.006003 0.007731 0.010392
2026-02-08 0.002551 0.003089 0.003766 0.004707 0.006018 0.007845 0.010714
2026-02-15 0.002493 0.003036 0.003729 0.004700 0.006072 0.008016 0.011134
2026-02-22 0.002414 0.002956 0.003650 0.004633 0.006037 0.008053 0.011343
2026-03-01 0.002345 0.002885 0.003582 0.004578 0.006016 0.008108 0.011582
2026-03-08 0.002298 0.002841 0.003549 0.004570 0.006062 0.008264 0.011994
2026-03-15 0.002207 0.002738 0.003432 0.004439 0.005920 0.008126 0.011906
2026-03-22 0.002173 0.002709 0.003416 0.004451 0.005991 0.008319 0.012389
2026-03-29 0.002153 0.002699 0.003424 0.004497 0.006115 0.008601 0.013043
2026-04-05 0.002108 0.002652 0.003381 0.004467 0.006121 0.008693 0.013368
2026-04-12 0.002072 0.002618 0.003354 0.004459 0.006159 0.008838 0.013796
2026-04-19 0.002029 0.002573 0.003310 0.004424 0.006154 0.008911 0.014096